All posts by Keith

I’m a controversialist and catalyst, quietly enabling others to develop by providing different ideas and views of the world. Born in London in the early 1950s and initially trained as a research chemist I retired as a senior project manager after 35 years in the IT industry. Retirement is about community give-back and finding some equilibrium. Founder and Honorary Secretary of the Anthony Powell Society. Chairman of my GP's patient group.

Auction Goodies

Having moaned a bit a month or two back about the recently poor amusement value of our local auction house, this month they’ve come up with some stunning lots. And I’ve included some of their images (below the descriptions).

An antique Chinese seed pod necklace with string tassel, centred by a wooden personal family seal carved as a seated figure and inscribed in Chinese ‘Bao Men Huang Shi Xiang Xin’, together with an ebony bead muff chain and a gilt-metal wristwatch

A mid-19th century Continental silver posy-holder with metamorphic tripod base, on chain, another posy-holder in gilt-metal and mother-of-pearl, a silver wirework zarf, and a cut-steel chatelaine
No I didn’t know what a zarf was either and had to look it up!

A shelf of china comprising a Hadleigh part tea service, Hornsea Fauna ware jugs and planters with applied deer, a glass clown and fish bottle, two pairs of decorative china shoes, a quantity of cottage ware including a teapot, a 1950’s Wade dish, end of glass vases and fish ornaments, a musical novelty decanter ‘The Last Shot’, a Nao figurine of a clown and a quantity of Disney comics

A mixed lot including tools, garden equipment such as loppers and a hose, two wicker wall hanging shelves, three small garden planters, a radiator, tent, watering can etc.
We turned out the shed.

A mixed lot including a shredder, a boxed electric menorah, a boxed set of six silver plated cake knives, a box of vintage patterns, two wall clocks, a boxed Junior ‘Guider’ hydrometer, an Oriental vase and cover, a Royal Albert cake plate, a set of scales, a quantity of cutlery, a Phillips toaster, an oval silver plated tray, an all wave signal generator plus two smaller similar, a small Samsung television and a Heat Kit oscilloscope
We turned out the attic too!

Approximately 17 motorbike helmets and a quantity of canvas bags

A large wooden model of a Mississippi steamer on four levels on stand

A large wooden model of the 17th century Swedish Vasa galleon. A fine model with ten masts and cannons.

An impressive wooden model of the 17th century French ship Soleil Royal, with twelve masts and cannons on stand with painted decoration and brass mounts

A cast lead ram’s head fountain mouth

A pair of designer novelty Christmas trees made from scouring pads on silver plated bases and a pottery hand ornament
Do what! That just has to be a candidate for “lot of the year”!

A framed and glazed wooden model of a galleon with three masts and a bow sprit and canons plus a smaller similar

A magnificent short sword in 16th century style, late 19th century Continental, with parcel-gilt blade, the bronze hilt cast as a Saracen threatening a maiden, and with finely cast bronze scabbard, 55 cm
There’s something sinister about this, to the extent that I would let it in the house.

A mixed lot over two shelves comprising wooden cat and bird ornaments, place mats, photograph frames, a boxed Explorer Dynamo Condensor, a Grecian copper and brass jug, a barometer, two pairs of sunglasses, a mickey Mouse Disney watch etc.
An interestingly compact collection of old toot.

A large bronze sculpture of a stylised svelte female with bare torso, probably circa 1950s/1960s, signed A Moreau, 170 cm
Well I’m glad you tell me that’s what it is.

A very decorative modern sculpture of a bird with outspread wings, in silvered and bronzed carved wood, on tall marbled square pedestal, 170 cm overall

Eight Military folding chairs and four locking Military storage boxes one of them very large, and a Samsung light apparatus possibly for a lecture theatre.

So yes, a few stunning pieces and some real oddities.

More as and when.

Skyscrapers

It isn’t a commonplace for me to agree with Simon Jenkins, but I’ll make an exception for this in the Guardian a couple of days ago.

Skyscrapers wreck cities – yet still Britain builds them
Around 500 towers are proposed for London. They’re not just ugly:
they symbolise Britain’s greedy pandering to developers

Having said that, I don’t know where he gets his information “towers rarely offer higher densities than traditional Victorian terraces in their neighbourhoods”, which I find inherently unlikely.

In my view, no building should be more than four or five floors above ground, if only from a safety point of view. And let’s use up all the brownfield sites and under-used office blocks before building more; much more environmentally sound than taking out yet more greenfield land.

And while we’re at it, let’s require every developer, large or small, to plant at least one tree for every dwelling, and five (or even ten) for every floor of offices, with 50% of them within a mile of the property. That would be good for both carbon sequestration and for mental health.

Counters

Each month this year we’re bringing you a post under the general title “Things that Count in [Number]” where [Number] will be the month. And naturally each month’s post will contain the [Number] of items (so just one for January, up to 12 for December).

For our purposes the definition of counting includes things which either come in groups of [Number] (eg. four suits in a pack of playing cards) or things which count in [Number] (eg. decimal coinage counting in tens).

Things which Count in Eight …

  1. Oarsmen
  2. Archangels
  3. Maids a-milking
  4. Pints in a gallon
  5. Legs on a spider
  6. Planets
  7. Corners on a cube
  8. Records on Desert Island Discs

Monthly Links

So here goes on this month’s selection of items you may have missed, but which I think you may not have wanted to.

Science, Technology & Natural World

Good news for cats: scientists have found a way to study the parasite Toxoplasma gondii (cause of toxoplasmosis) without needing to infect cats.

Health & Medicine

The nasty, tick-borne, Lyme disease seems to be on the increase, but researchers are on the trail of a new vaccine. [LONG READ]

According to some the problem is not that we are fat per se but that the problem is “fat stigma” and the mental effects of the ubiquitous bullying.

Health researchers are predicting that giving the HPV vaccine to boys will prevent a large number of cancer cases.

More of us, and especially women, are breaking the taboos about discussing femaile bodily functions.

And the new openness has lead to discussion of why women need to have periods, and many are deciding to forego them. [LONG READ]

Which leads us on to … research has shown that menstrual cups are as reliable as tampons.

Sexuality

In more unlikely research, it seems that women like porn as much as men (at least as shown by brain imaging) but we’re all brainwashed into believing they don’t.

Language

The British are well known for not learning foreign languages, and it is now suggested there are five reasons why English speakers struggle with them.

Art & Literature

So just what is the history of the Bible?

Rowland Emett’s fantastical railway sculpture will be on display at Bonhams New Bond Street from 12 August to 3 September, before being sold at auction.

History, Archaeology & Anthropology

Palaeontologists have found a massive dinosaur femur in south-west France.

It is being suggested that European Stone Age art could contain a code and possibly be the root of human writing. [£££]

In another story of the Stone Age, researchers have used modern forensic methods to solve a 33,000 year old murder mystery. [£££]

Excavations at the battlefield at Waterloo have uncovered the remains of a field hospital, including amputated limbs, and musket balls.

London

Wenceslaus Hollar created a 5 meter long aerial panorama of London shortly before the Great Fire of 1666. Here’s the story. [LONG READ]

In another piece of history, here’s the story of the Thames watermen and ferrymen.

There’s a fantastic new book about London Bridge and its houses.

Lifestyle & Personal Development

Mid-year burnout. Is it a thing, or are we all just terminally tired?

Medieval monks had some advice for us on avoiding digital distractions.

Regret can be all-consuming and destructive of mental health, so here’s a look at how to leave it behind.

Shock, Horror, Humour

To end with several items which have amused me unreasonably much this month …

First, there was Edward Lear’s Nonsense Botany

In a surprise revelation, opium-addicted parrots are terrorising poppy farms in India.

Concerned members of the public rescued a bright orange seagull, covered in curry or turmeric. Actually I think it’s a very fetching look!

And finally … a dancing parrot.

Enjoy the silly season!

100 Days of Haiku, Episode 4

Weekly update on my 100 Days of Haiku challenge. I’ve struggled for inspiration again this week – well the hot weather has helped nothing – but here’s this week’s selection (one a day).

Monday 22 July
Bright green minibeast,
door lintel is its park bench:
small oak bush cricket.

Tuesday 23 July
Little brown fluttery-by
busily seeking nectar
in overgrown hedge.

Wednesday 24 July
Clear azure blue sky,
zip-wired swifts circling high
pick off flying ants.

Thursday 25 July
Wispy mare’s tail
cirrus clouds so high above.
Swifts circling below.

Friday 26 July
Harley or Honda?
Who cares the make when all rev
so noisily.

Saturday 27 July
Sleeping all day long:
pussy cat where have you been?
Night down the rat mines.

Sunday 28 July
Rain, glorious rain,
making gardens green again.
Daybreak brings wet cats.

And the tally of progress by week:

Week Haiku
1 16
2 28
3 33
4 26

More next week.

Nuclear Power Redux

Back in February (OK, yes, I’m currently in catch-up mode) I read a very interesting article on resurrecting nuclear power (a) in a much safer form and (b) to solve our energy crisis. The article was Nuclear goes retro – with a much greener outlook. It is a very long read, so here is the usual tl;dr summary (edited quotes).

  • If you want poor countries to become richer you need a cheap and abundant power source. But if you want to avoid spewing out enough extra carbon dioxide to fry the planet, you need to provide that power without using coal and gas.
  • The standard alternatives simply wouldn’t be sufficient. Wind and solar power by themselves couldn’t offer nearly enough energy, not with billions of poor people trying to join the global middle class. Yet conventional nuclear reactors – which could meet the need, in principle – are massively expensive, potentially dangerous and anathema to much of the public (not to mention politicians).
  • But, the molten salt reactor (MSR) might just turn nuclear power into the greenest energy source on the planet.
  • They are basically a pot of hot nuclear soup – a mix of salts, heated until they melted, and a salt such as uranium tetrafluoride stirred in.
  • The uranium will undergo nuclear fission in the melt, keeping the salts molten, and providing power generation at the same time.
  • Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee successfully operated a demonstration molten salt reactor back in the 1960s.
  • They demonstrated that molten salt reactors were cheap enough for poor countries to buy and compact enough to deliver on a flatbed truck.
  • They’re also green as they will burn our existing stockpiles of nuclear waste, rather than generatign even more.
  • And they’re safe enough to put in cities and factories.
  • Even better these reactors would be proliferation resistant, because their hot, liquid contents would be very hard for rogue states or terrorists to hijack.
  • Getting there isn’t going to be easy – not least because hot molten salts are just as corrosive as they sound. Every component that comes into contact with the brew will have to be made of specialized, high-tech alloy that can resist that corrosion. While you want to dissolve the uranium in the salt, you do not want to dissolve your rector as well!
  • As one specialist has observed: “It will be exceedingly hard, but that is significantly better than impossible”.
  • The approach that won out for commercial power production – and is still used in almost all of the 454 nuclear plants currently operating globally – is the water-cooled uranium reactor (WCUR).
  • WCUR isn’t the best nuclear design, but it was one of the first. Other designs were left for later (if ever).
  • Oak Ridge successfully demonstrated all this in their MSR, an 8 megawatt prototype that ran from 1965 to 1969.
  • By the early 1970s, the Oak Ridge group was well into developing an even more ambitious prototype that would allow them to test materials as well as demonstrating the use of thorium fuel salts instead of uranium.
  • Officials in the US nuclear program terminated the Oak Ridge programme in early 1973. However MSR started to appear less visionary in 1974, when India tested a nuclear bomb made with plutonium extracted from the spent fuel of a conventional reactor.
  • Governments around the world realised global reprocessing was an invitation to rampant nuclear weapons proliferation. In 1977 US President Jimmy Carter banned commercial reprocessing in the United States; much of the rest of the world followed.
  • This left a nasty disposal problem. Instead of storing spent fuel underwater for a few years, engineers were now supposed to isolate it for something like 240,000 years, thanks to the 24,100-year half-life of plutonium-239. (The rule of thumb is to wait 10 half-lives, thus reducing radiation levels over 1000-fold.)
  • Developers at Oak Ridge tried to point out that the continuous purification approach could solve both the spent-fuel and proliferation problems at a stroke; but they were ignored by the nuclear planners.
  • Then in 1979 came the partial meltdown at Three Mile Island, a conventional nuclear plant. In 1986 another catastrophe hit meltdown at the Chernobyl plant in Ukraine.
  • The resulting backlash against nuclear power was so strong that new plant construction effectively ceased, the nuclear industry stagnated and was not in an innovative mood for 30 years.
  • Then in 2011, a tsunami knocked out all the cooling systems and backups at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi plant causing the 1970s-vintage reactors to meltdown.
  • Seaborg Technologies launched in 2014 to design a molten salt Compact Used fuel BurnEr (CUBE) that would run on a combination of spent nuclear fuel and thorium.
  • CUBE is also so small that it can be transported to site on the back of a truck – a major advantage especially in remote regions.
  • Unfortunately none of this is going to happen tomorrow. The various MSR development companies are still refining their designs and the first prototypes won’t be running until at least the mid-2020s.
  • But perhaps the biggest, and most unpredictable barrier, is the public’s ingrained fear of anything labelled “nuclear”.
  • So developers have to keep stressing the why of nuclear power: to fight climate change, poverty and pollution. As well as the three big advantages of MSR: no meltdown, no proliferation and burning up nuclear waste
  • Apparently people are beginning, slowly, to listen – at least in the USA.

See also Molten Salt Reactors and Wikipedia.

Vaccine Myths

Over recent months I’ve read several articles setting out to refute anti-vaxxer myths about vaccines, including:

Read these articles for further background and references.

Now I’m not going to recite all the arguments busting the myths, but I will highlight a few salient points.

Autism

  • The original paper by Andrew Wakefield on autism being caused by the MMR vaccine has been totally discredited due to serious procedural errors, undisclosed financial conflicts of interest, and ethical violations. The paper has been retracted.
  • Numerous studies have been conducted and none have found any evidence to support the notion that vaccines cause autism or other chronic illnesses.

Improved hygiene

  • While it is true that better hygiene, sanitation and nutrition are responsible for there being fewer infections, this is not the whole story. Antibiotics and similar drugs have clearly helped too.
  • However when these factors are isolated and rates of infectious disease are scrutinized, vaccines are also shown to have had a significant effect.

Vaccines are too risky

  • Children and adults have been being successfully vaccinated for decades.
  • This has provided ample opportunity for research studies and none has never found a single credible link between vaccines and long term health conditions.

Vaccination is not needed

  • This argument goes that we don’t need to vaccinate because infection rates are already incredibly low.
  • Yes, infection rates are low and this can be shown to be due toi the herd immunity from vaccination: with many people resisting infection due to vaccination even unvaccinated groups are provided some protection as diseases cannot get a foothold.
  • This level of “herd immunity” is important because there will always be a portion of the population – infants, pregnant women, elderly, those with weakened immune systems – that can’t be vaccinated.
  • Reduce that level of “herd immunity” and the infections do return.


Mercury in vaccines acts as a neurotoxin

  • Yes, some vaccines have contained the preservative thimerosal, which is a compound containing mercury. And yes, free mercury is a neurotoxin. But thimerosal does not produce free mercury in the body.
  • However both the USA’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the World Health Organization, have found no evidence that thimerosal in vaccines causes health problems in kids.
  • In fact in 2001 thimerosal was removed from all childhood vaccines in the United States except multi-dose vials of flu vaccine. It has also been removed in vaccines in the EU. As a result there was no drop in the incidence of autism; in fact the opposite. The same was found in Denmark.

Vaccine overload

  • “Vaccine overload” is the idea that giving many vaccines at once may overwhelm or weaken a child’s immature immune system and lead to adverse effects.
  • However there is strong scientific evidence to the contrary.
  • Despite the relatively recent increase in the number of vaccines, improvements in vaccine design have reduced the immunologic load from vaccines.
  • Moreover vaccines pose a very small immunologic load compared to the pathogens naturally encountered by a child in a typical year.

HPV vaccine

  • In some quarters the HPV vaccine, which is offered to pre- and early-teenage girls (and increasingly to boys) is controversial due to concerns that it may encourage promiscuity.
  • Even if this were the case (and I have seen no evidence) my personal view is that this would be preferable to cervical, throat and other cancers.
  • It is also quite baffling that anyone can oppose a vaccine which aims to reduce the incidence of cancer.

Flu Vaccination

  • It is a common misconception that you don’t need a ‘flu shot every year.
  • This is wrong. If you are eligible for a ‘flu shot you do need one every year.
  • Not only is ‘flu a highly dangerous disease, especially for the immunocompromised, but it mutates very rapidly. In consequence this year’s circulating ‘flu viruses will be very different to last year’s, and the vaccine is updated every year to take account of this.

So, in summary, vaccines prevent the outbreak of (often dangerous) diseases such as polio and measles which used to be widespread – and ‘flu which is still common. The scientific consensus strongly supports their safety.

Urban Greening

Some weeks ago I read an article Urban greening can save species, cool warming cities, and make us happy. On an over-hot day in London it seems appropriate to give you the tl;dr version (edited quotes):

The current climate and ecological crisis demands a radical redesign of how we live and organise society. These urgent changes, although complex, are far from impossible.

Some are simple, beautiful, and beneficial to all. By greening our cities with street trees, urban parks, and community and rooftop gardens, we can keep ourselves cool amid rising temperatures, reverse the steady erosion of the rich tapestry of life on Earth, and foster happiness and social connection in the process.

Greenery in urban spaces helps improve city microclimates. While hotter cities compel urbanites to increase air conditioning in order to stay cool, on a sunny day, a single healthy tree can have the cooling power of more than ten air-conditioning units.

Plants also help keep harmful pollutants such as microscopic particulate matter at bay. While some vehicles are needed in city centres, mass greening can help negate their pollution and keep cities cool.

Evidence shows numerous social, psychological, and health benefits of human exposure to green spaces, including: stress and anxiety reduction, improved cognitive functioning, lowered risks of depression, and overall greater mental and physical well-being; involvement in community gardening can increase social cohesion and social bonds.

Human socio-economic activities, especially those of the world’s rich, have destroyed natural habitats, consumed vast tracts of forest, polluted waterways, and disrupted the seasonal rhythms on which life depends. But (re-)establishing wild meadows and native plant and tree communities provides essential pollinators with new spaces to thrive, while creating spaces to reintroduce keystone species.

Mass greening and rewilding of our cities is already happening in many urban spaces around the world. The Mayor of Paris has ambitious plans to “green” 100 hectares of the city by 2020 and London’s Mayor hopes to make London the world’s first “National Park City” through mass tree planting and park restoration.

Urban greening alone will not be enough to meet the daunting challenges ahead; we also need to fundamentally transform our growth-oriented economies and massively reduce global inequality.

On Protest

A few days ago one of our favourite Zen masters, Brad Warner, wrote a blog post under the title What You Don’t Speak Out Against You Co-sign? He was responding to a comment that “what you don’t speak out against you co-sign” and taking him to task for not openly campaigning against Donald Trump and all that he stands for. Needless to say Brad disagreed, as I do too.

Let’s start off being clear. “What you don’t speak out against you co-sign” means “If you don’t speak out against something then you are supporting, aiding, facilitating, even encouraging it”.

As Brad says, this is a very common way of thinking. It goes along with the “if good men do nothing …” trope. But it isn’t true and it is (designed to be) divisive and create factions. It is nothing short of moral blackmail.

Many people see their target as some variant of evil. So if you don’t campaign, demonstrate or protest against Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, Brexit, pervasive CCTV, fossil fuels, or whatever, then you condone them and you are the work of the Devil. Not so.

In Brad’s words:

If someone characterizes you as evil, do you want to be friends with them? Do you want to support the things they support? Do you want to listen to their reasons for calling you evil? Or are you more likely to say, “Well screw you!” and deliberately support whatever it is they’re against?
… …
The stance that [such people] are taking will only drive more people to support the [cause] they hate.

So their efforts become a self-denying ordinance.

Also implicit in this is (a) that there is one right and one wrong answer, and (b) that there is only one way to protest. Some must choose to refrain from joining in with the noise everyone else is making. Protesting noisily is seldom effective. In general, protests and petitions work only to reinforce the determination to do whatever is being protested against. They may convince those who are already of like mind to join your bandwagon, but to many, like me, they are annoying and pointless – even if I agree with the sentiments.

Don’t get me wrong. I object just as strongly to the same things (see list above) as anyone else. But I choose not be be mouthy about it or jump on bandwagons. Like Brad I am not skilled in political rhetoric, and whatever I might wish to say has already been said a thousand times over by those more skilled (and likely more knowledgeable) than me. So I would largely be wasting my breath.

Everything goes through cycles and fashions; always has, always will. Ultimately “we are where we are” and “what will happen will happen” – although by “right action” we can indeed hope to affect the outcomes. But what is “right action” for you may not be so for me.

Essentially it doesn’t matter what I say. Brexit will happen or it won’t happen. North Korea will blow us all sky high, or it won’t. Rinse and repeat, with your cause du jour.

That’s not to say that we shouldn’t speak out about things we fundamentally disagree with, but there won’t be thousands not speaking out because I keep quiet: there is already plenty of discussion and debate. Your mileage may vary.

Like Brad, I believe there is a better way, at least for me. First of all staying silent (or maybe just quieter) helps protect my sanity – something which is precarious enough for most of us at the best of times. The Dalai Lama always talks about compassion, and self-care is only having compassion for oneself. Without self-compassion and self-care you are not able, and not there, to show compassion for others.

Keeping silent has other benefits too. It provides quiet space where other topics, perhaps of more immediate personal importance or urgency, can be discussed. And, when appropriate, it also allows controversialists and facilitators (as I like to think I am) help others see the wood for the trees and take an appropriately thoughtful and nuanced approach, rather than jumping on some blinkered, raucous bandwagon.

There’s more than one way to stop the crocodile running off with the sausages.

For another perspective on this see Silent Protests Are Still Protests.