Category Archives: personal

Predictions for 2009

I’ve found a number of websites which purport to predict what will happen in 2009; for instance here, here and here. All of this looks to me like fairly non-specific commonsense readings of how the prevailing circumstances may develop, which anyone can do.

On that basis, and based partly on these predictions but mainly on my own hunches, here is my reading of what might happen in 2009.

  1. There will be an assassination attempt (possibly more than one) on Barack Obama after his inauguration as US President. There is an evens chance it will succeed.
  2. The Euro will continue to weaken against the dollar; in consequence both France and Germany may threaten to leave the Euro system. Conversely, due to its weak economy, the UK may try again to join the Euro in the mistaken belief it will make things better; it won’t. If this succeeds it will spell a further major downturn in the UK as businesses attempt to use the conversion as a means of increasing their margins at the expense of the customer.
  3. If Gordon Brown makes another major miscalculation (either in terms of policy or the public’s mood) he will be forced out of office resulting in an early General Election. The result will be a hung parliament with a minority Labour government, which because it is unable to get legislation through will end up deepening the economic woes of the UK. However if Gordon Brown escapes further miscalculations the General Election will be between March and May 2010, with the Labour government being returned to office.
  4. Russia will swing back towards Communism and the corruption that goes with it. This leads to a worsening of relations between the US and Russia, with interesting knock-on effects on the US space programme (NASA could abandon manned space exploration).
  5. There will be a major pollution event which threatens thousands of lives somewhere in the world during the year, possibly in France, Spain or India.
  6. There is also likely to be a major dam rupture killing thousands. This will probably be in the Far East (China is most likely). The appropriate government will be accused of not doing enough, quickly enough, to help but in practice it doesn’t care about losing a few thousand of its people. The dam will not be repaired due to the geology and the high cost.
  7. Having had years of drought there will be heavy rains and major flooding across large areas of Australia.
  8. Britain sees a number of its top companies fail; the holiday, aviation, automotive and construction sectors are most at risk. Of the airlines Alitalia, Ryanair and bmi look vulnerable, as do BA and airport operator BAA.
  9. There will be at least two further failures (or at the least major restructurings) amongst the major High Street retailers; choose from Dixons, Morrisons, Halfords, Primark, Iceland, B&Q, Boots, Superdrug, T.K.Maxx. At least two of the top 10 UK supermarket chains will fail and/or merge.
  10. At least one UK High Street bank will also fail. It will not be rescued by the UK government, who will also not allow it to be absorbed by any of the big four banks.
  11. Work will start on the third runway at Heathrow; however it will be abandoned after little more than 2 years (and with upwards of £5bn wasted) due to a major downturn in the aviation sector worldwide.
  12. 2009 will also see the start of serious international lobbying to move the 2012 Olympics away from London in favour of an existing, cheaper, venue – all due to the worldwide economic downturn. A final decision will not be made until late in 2010 or early 2011; it could go either way.
  13. A well known celebrity (possibly Victoria Beckham) will become pregnant with a long awaited daughter, but she will have a life-threatening miscarriage.
  14. On a global note, Pakistan and Iran will continue to be a threat to world peace with both being driven further into the arms of Islamic extremists.
  15. The global economy will continue to have a very bumpy ride in 2009 with a level of stability returning sometime after mid-2010. However this stability will be at a lower level than heretofore as there is a growing global realisation amongst the people that our previous greed has generated the current cycle of gloom. Governments and business leaders will however not see this and will continue to try to ramp economies back to their pre-2008 levels; they will fail.
  16. There is no indication of any truly major earthquake or volcanic event in 2009; the catastrophically big events are still 2-3 years away. That is not to say there won’t be earthquake events, just that they will not be the cataclysmic ones we are all awaiting.

So there you have it – a mixture of my reading of the current environment and some wishful thinking dressed up as a set of predictions. See anyone can do this based on absolutely nothing and it looks authoritative. I hope I have this all wrong (there is no reason it should be right; I have no known special psychic powers) as it is so gloomy. But I shall claim a triumph if I score anything over a 30% hit rate.

Zen Mischief Awards for 2008

Here is my personal Honours List for 2008:

Most Annoying Person of the Year: Gordon Brown (together with the whole of the current Cabinet)

Most Dangerous Person of the Year: A tie between Robert Mugabe and George W Bush

Most Boring Event of the Year: Beijing Olympics

Biggest National Disaster of the Year: Government bailout of the banks

Star of the Year: Noreen – for her book, Dictionary of Children’s Clothes, and for still being married to me!

Person with the Least Clue this Year: Gordon Brown

Personal Achievements this Year: (a) I’m still working, (b) I lost 30Kg

Personal Highlight of the Year: Short Break in Germany in February

Personal Lowlights of the Year: (a) Current work project, (b) no major holiday for the second year running, (c) lack of time for the Anthony Powell Society, my family or myself, (d) I put back on 3-4 Kg having lost it.

Personal Unfulfilled Dreams this Year: (a) No golden handshake, (b) no big lottery win, (c) can’t yet retire in comfort.

My Game Meme


My Game Meme, originally uploaded by kcm76.

This mosaic is for the Flickr group My Meme, where each week there is a different theme and 12 questions which you have to answer with a photo from another Flickr photographer — it makes you look some of the other great work on Flickr!

This week the theme is games.
I found this quite hard as I don’t generally do things like board games and party games; they aren’t part of my family’s culture.

Questions and Answers:
1. What is your favorite board game? Scrabble
2. What is your favorite card game? Shopping (with someone else’s credit card) 🙂
3. What is your favorite TV game show? University Challenge
4. Who is your favorite TV game show host? Roland Rat
5. What was your favorite childhood game? Monopoly
6. What is your favorite computer/online game? Flickr
7. What is your favorite Monopoly game piece? I don’t recall what we had, but it wasn’t these modern silver tokens; anyway I always preferred having hotels on Mayfair and Patk Lane!
8. What game do you consistently win at? Failure 🙂
9. What is your favorite party game? Drinking!
10. What is your favorite video game? I don’t have one
11. Who do you like to play games with the most? Me! — that way I get to win
12. What game does your life most resemble? Chaos

And here are links to the individual photos:
1. Scrabble Tile Charm – Theme: Winter, 2. credit cards, 3. University Challenge, 4. Roland Rat Rat Rapping, 5. I LOVE Photo Editing! — Girls Playing Monopoly, 6. Flickr meltdown, 7. Park Lane Hotel, 8. Cascading Failure, 9. Cat drinking at the tap 1, 10. Book of secrets, 11. Color Me Crazy, 12. An Oil Painting of Organized Chaos

Created with fd’s Flickr Toys.

Name Meme

So here is another meme which I came across quite some while ago courtesy of Katyboo.

1. What is your name? Keith

2. Complete the following statements using the first letter of your name to start each answer.

A four letter word: Kite
A Girl’s Name: Keeley
A Boy’s Name: Kingsley
An Occupation: King
A colour: Khaki (it’s the only one I can think of)
Something you wear: Kilt
A Beverage: Keemun Tea (can anyone think of another?)
Food: Kiwi Fruit
Something Found in a Bathroom: Key (well there’s one in my bathroom!)
A City: Köln
A Country: Kazakhstan
Song With a Girl’s Name in the Title: Kate, Ben Folds Five (1997)
Something You Shout: Kill!
Celebrity: Kylie Minogue
Cartoon Character: King Rollo
Flower: Kalanchoë
Animal: Kiwi
Fruit: Kiwi
A Book Title: King Arthur’s Round Table: An Archaeological Investigation by Martin Biddle
A Film Title: King Kong

3. And now tag 4 or 5 of your friends. I tag anyone who wants to take up the baton!

Christmas Likes and Dislikes Meme!

This weeks meme can go one of two ways! Are you still decking the halls and excited about Christmas or are you being a Scrooge this year? You can do either your Christmas Likes or your Christmas Dislikes Meme!

Well I’ve done both. So here first are my Christmas Dislikes:


1. A present you’d hate Sox, handknitted
2. Worst place to spend Christmas Anywhere religious
3. Hated carol Away in a Manger
4. Worst Christmas food Too much chocolate
5. A non-Christmas tree It isn’t Christmas without a tree!
6. Your worst ever present A tacky plastic shoehorn from my aunt in Canada; I wrote her a poem of (non) thanks and haven’t had a present from her since!
7. Worst thing about Christmas Day itself The rest of the year
8. Nasty Christmas Drink Pernod; disgusting at any time!
9. A non-decoration A crib; isn’t it idolatry?
10. Annoying Lights Illuminated inflatable santas
11. A seaside postcard OK here’s one I’ve not seen before
12. Person you least like to spend Christmas with Any religious maniac

1. christmas socks, 2. the reason Jesus came the first Christmas.jpg, 3. Lindsey & Sydney singing Away in a Manger, 4. Chocolate Fondue Fountain, 5. No more Christmas tree 🙁, 6. Dice.jpg, 7. Winter, England., 8. Pernod 2, 9. Christmas Crib from Ortisei, 10. Inflatable Diptych, 11. Postcard from Dick, 12. aah, Capitol Hill in the springtime…


And now for my Christmas Likes:


1. A present you’d like £2M
2. Favourite place to spend Christmas At home
3. Favourite carol The Boar’s Head
4. Favourite Christmas food Smoked salmon; we’ve made ourselves a tradition to have smoked salmon sandwiches and champagne at lunchtime on Christmas Day and then our Christmas meal in the evening
5. A Christmas tree Oh there has to be a well decorated tree
6. Your best ever present Noreen, my wife; we agreed to marry just before Christmas and told our parents over New Year
7. Favourite thing about Christmas Day itself Snow, not that I’ve ever seen a white Christmas
8. Favourite Christmas Drink Champagne, or beer!
9. A decoration A wreath on the front door
10. Fairy Lights Yes, and lots of them
11. A Christmas card or greeting OK, here’s a Christmas card
12. Person you most like to spend Christmas with Noreen

1. Hidden Money – Can you see what I see?, 2. Christmas Home, 3. Boar’s Head Carol, 4. smoked salmon, 5. Golden Christmas, 6. Just exactly what DOES happen when you kiss a toad?, 7. Harz Railway Winter 2006 #8, 8. Celebration toast with champagne, 9. Christmas wreath, 10. Day 265 : Fairy lights, 11. Christmas card, illustration, 12. Norn Albion

As always these are not my photos but please follow the links to enjoy the work of the photographers who did take them!

Created with fd’s Flickr Toys.

Reincarnation

We were talking over dinner tonight, to a background of renaissance Christmas music (mostly Giovanni Gabrieli) and the subject of reincarnation came up – as it does with us not infrequently.

As regular readers will know I don’t believe; I don’t believe in very much of the non-ethereal variety. Except that, to quote Shakespeare, “there are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy” (Hamlet, Act I, scene v). One of the things which I do consider at least likely is some form of reincarnation. No, I know it doesn’t make sense; I just have this inner feeling that it is so, at least in some way, although quite how I have no clue. It’s real gut feeling stuff; and because I have this feeling it makes me reluctant to be very prescriptive about other peoples’ beliefs being completely wrong – who is to say that their beliefs aren’t right (at least for them) – rather than just not something I can feel the need for.

Anyway Noreen and I were remarking on the fact that we still don’t understand how we ever got together and have stayed together – even to the extent of enjoying good sex at 5.30 this morning (and that we calculate is 30 years almost to the day since we first had sex). Noreen also commented that while not understanding how we have got this far, she feels we may well have done it before. Hmmm, yes, maybe so. Although maybe not this way round; who knows we could have been a couple of Tudor gay boys?! And even maybe not as humans.

Noreen went on to comment on the fact that I have the feeling of having been a religious in a previous life. Well yes. It might account for my “irrational” liking for the traditional Latin Catholic liturgy, despite my lack of belief. (Mass is a spell; and it is especially potent in Latin.) I do have the feeling that it is all just too familiar and I could well have been a catholic priest; although not necessarily in England; perhaps Venice or the like around the time of Gabrieli or Monteverdi? I don’t know! Not really much more than that.

I also have the feeling of connection with the Chapel Royal at around the time of William Byrd (so late 16th century). (Byrd is one of my heroes. Why?) Again it just feels all too familiar and comfortable. I doubt that I was Byrd himself and I am doubtful that I was a Tudor recusant (although both are possibilities). More likely I was a singing boy or perhaps another of the Gentlemen of the Chapel Royal, or even a priest associated with the chapel establishment. What I can be fairly sure about is that if I was a priest at this time, it was not the same priesthood as the one I mentioned above – because remember that at the time of William Byrd England was protestant and although considerably more catholic than we traditionally think, it was wholly Prayer Book and not Latin Tridentine. Again I can’t pin this down any better; which leads me to feel there is a good reason why and that I shouldn’t try.

I do also wonder why it is that I find some aspects of other religions comfortable and familiar: some aspects of Buddhism; odd glimmers from Zen; some pieces of Shinto. (Why else am I drawn irrationally towards Japan?) Have I had lives in these environments? Similarly have I lived another life in Norway, to which I also feel drawn? I have no idea. Except that I have no illusions that I would likely have been a peasant wherever I was; maybe a priest or monk or some similar in some places/times (that’s just another gut feeling). We can’t all have been Henry VIII or Cleopatra!

It is interesting too that I feel I’ve likely not always been male. Maybe not always human, but I’m less certain about that. Why should I always have been male in any previous life? If I have been a woman at some time(s) then it might explain why I have this curiosity about what it is like to be a woman (a curiosity which my late father also professed). No, I have no illusion that I would have enjoyed/preferred being female, or it would have been better – I’m sure I wouldn’t; different, yes, but unlikely to be better or worse; but I would like to have that understanding.

Yet there are some eras for which I have no feeling and little interest: the Age of Enlightenment; the Victorians; the Romans; Egypt and Arabia; Africa. Maybe I was never there; or I was too abused? Who knows? Who will ever know about these things?

My only other feeling is that reincarnation – if it indeed exists – isn’t simple. It isn’t “my soul from this life is passed entire to someone in a future life”. (Let’s leave aside the Hindu possibility that we can become other animate beings — cows, flies, fish, whatever. In passing I once had a Hindu colleague who was strict vegetarian; he wouldn’t even eat an egg because it might be his grandmother reincarnated!) No, I have this feeling that our souls may well subdivide, and possibly combine with bits of other souls, before being “re-implanted” for the next life. However a quick search has not led me to any religious system which expresses reincarnation in this way.

That is about as much as I know; if indeed I know that much. And it is all based on absolutely nothing apart from some (some will say, delusional) inner gut feelings and wonderment at why some of these things are so comfortable and familiar. Nothing at all concrete to go on – but then which of us has? Deeply unsatisfactory for a scientist, a heretic and an unbeliever!

(I’ve put a fair few links in this item in the hope it may help others to understand some of the background.)